MARKET ANALYSIS>Inbound Traffic Analysis>Traffic Data Development
Object: Traffic Data Development For Regional Resupply
Statement of Work: Review, update and document traffic flows and transportation rates for all surface modes associated with inbound resupply required for routine support to ongoing public and private sector activity in the Alaska and Yukon regional economy. Regional Resupply includes inbound construction materials, consumer goods, repair parts, equipment, vehicles, food and fuel.
Extensive primary research (interviews) will be necessary to supplement the limited availability of published traffic statistics and tariffs. This will require working familiarity with current Yukon and/or Alaska transportation carriers and shippers. [NOTE to Respondents: This work package can include Yukon OR Alaska OR both. If not both, indicate Yukon or Alaska in your submission]
Deliverables: Data tables with quantity, source, route and rates for current traffic flows.
Object: Traffic Data Development For Resource Projects
Statement of Work: Review, update and document logistics plans for inbound supply to mining projects and oil and gas field development in Alaska, Yukon, NWT and BC. Resource supply traffic includes mining equipment and grinding media; drilling rigs, tubulars, chemicals and mud; fuel and other consumables. Primary interviews with project proponents, industry associations and government agencies will be required to supplement and validate secondary information sources (published material and internet research). This will require local knowledge of the northern resource development industry in Canada and/or Alaska. [NOTE to Respondents: This work package can include Alaska OR Canada OR both. If not both, indicate Alaska or Canada in your submission]
Deliverables: Tabulated quantity, source, route and rate data for current and planned project supply.
Object: Traffic Data Development For Pipeline Construction
Statement of Work: Review and update construction logistics plans for Alaska Gas and Mackenzie Gas Pipelines. Research filed applications and preliminary information packages. Confirm and update secondary research through interviews with producer groups, pipeline companies and government agencies. Document on and/or offshore sourcing and delivery programs for major pipe, equipment and fuel movements. Determine anticipated transport modes and routings to pipeline spreads in Alaska, Yukon and the Northwest Territories. This will require local knowledge of pipeline planning in Alaska and/or Canada. [NOTE to Respondents: This work package can include Alaska OR Canada OR both. If not both, indicate Alaska or Canada in your submission]
Deliverables: Tabulated quantity, source, route and rate data for pipeline construction logistics.
Object: Traffic Data Evaluation For Regional Resupply
Statement of Work: Working from Data Tables developed in Work Pack A1(a), assess the market potential for regional resupply by rail from the contiguous lower 48 United States, southern Canada or Alaska/BC Ports. Compare through rates for current marine container and roll-on/roll-off trailer and rail car operations to determine rail rate levels required for competitive cost positioning relative to existing transportation capability. Estimate rail traffic flows and revenue streams.
Deliverables: Rail traffic and revenue forecasts for Regional Resupply
Prerequisite: Completion of Work Pack A1(a)
Object: Traffic Data Evaluation For Resource Projects
Statement of Work: Working from Data Tables developed in Work Pack A1(b), assess the market for rail transport from the contiguous lower 48 United States, southern Canada or Alaska/BC Ports for equipment and supplies for mining projects or oil and gas field development in Alaska, Yukon, NWT and BC. Determine rail rate levels required for competitive cost positioning relative to existing transportation capability. Estimate rail traffic flows and revenue streams.
Deliverables: Rail traffic and revenue forecasts for Resource Projects
Prerequisite: Completion of Work Pack A1(b)
Object: Traffic Data Evaluation For Pipeline Construction
Statement of Work: Working from Data Tables developed in Work Pack A1(c), assess the market for rail transport of pipe, fuel and equipment in support of the construction, operation and maintenance of Northern Gas Pipelines in Alaska and Canada. Determine for both offshore and North American sourcing, rail rate levels required for competitive cost positioning relative to existing transportation capability. Estimate rail traffic flows and revenue streams.
Deliverables: Rail traffic and revenue forecasts for Pipeline Construction
Prerequisite: Completion of Work Pack A1(c)
MARKET ANALYSIS>Inbound Traffic Analysis>Traffic/Revenue Targets Identification
Object: Traffic/Revenue Targets Identification For Inbound Traffic Market
Statement of Work: Integrate results for all Inbound Traffic Analysis Work Packages. Set realistic inbound traffic and revenue targets for Regional Resupply, Resource Projects and Pipeline Construction. Identify potentially significant data gaps/market risk areas for special analysis.
Deliverables: Total rail traffic/revenue forecasts and significant market risk areas for Inbound Traffic.
Prerequisite: Completion of Work Packs A1(d)(e)(f).
MARKET ANALYSIS>Outbound/Export Traffic Analysis>Traffic Data Development
Object: Traffic Data Development For Mineral Resources
Statement of Work: Review and analyze literature on mineral resource prospects in eastern Alaska, Yukon and northern B.C. to determine prospective mine sites, recoverable reserve base and corresponding outbound traffic and revenues from potential exports of Base Metal Concentrates, Iron Ore and Coal. This will require working familiarity and interviews with northern resource developers to confirm, update and document traffic data for potential resource exports. [NOTE to Respondents: This work package can include Alaska OR Yukon/BC OR both. If not both, indicate Alaska or Yukon/BC in your submission]
Deliverables: Data tables with production areas, recoverable reserve base, traffic volumes after any processing, market destinations and transportation costs anticipated for Mineral Resource Exports.
Object: Traffic Data Development For Forestry Resources
Statement of Work: Review and analyze literature on forestry operations in eastern Alaska, Yukon and northern B.C. to determine current and potential outbound traffic flows, existing transportation capability and present transportation rates. Stakeholder interviews will be required to confirm and update published information and internet research. This will require working familiarity with forestry operations in Alaska, Yukon and B.C. [NOTE to Respondents: This work package can include Alaska OR Yukon/BC OR both. If not both, indicate Alaska or Yukon/BC in your submission]
Deliverables: Data tables with production areas, traffic volumes, market destinations and transportation costs anticipated for northern Forestry Products.
Object: Traffic Data Development For Farm/Fishery Resources
Statement of Work: Review and analyze literature on agricultural and aquacultural resources in Alaska, Yukon and B.C. to determine current and potential outbound traffic flows, existing transportation capability and present transportation rates. Stakeholder interviews will be required to confirm and update published information and internet research. This will require working familiarity with farming and fishery operations in Alaska, Yukon and B.C. [NOTE to Respondents: This work package can include Alaska OR Yukon/BC OR both. If not both, indicate Alaska or Yukon/BC in your submission]
Deliverables: Data tables with production areas, traffic volumes, market destinations and transportation costs anticipated for Farming and Fishery Resources.
MARKET ANALYSIS>Outbound/Export Traffic Analysis>Traffic Data Evaluation
Object: Traffic Data Evaluation For Mineral Resources
Statement of Work: Building on Data Tables developed in Work Pack A2(a) develop regional, long range production forecasts in the context of world markets. Assess the level of rail rates required for competitive positioning relative to existing transportation capability. Compare current bulk transport routes and rates to determine the extent to which potential mineral export traffic is susceptible to rail movement. Confirm results with mining industry interviews. Estimate bulk rail traffic and revenue streams.
Deliverables: Data tables with mine production, rail traffic and revenue forecasts.
Prerequisite: Completion of Work Pack A2(a)
Object: Traffic Data Evaluation For Forestry Resources
Statement of Work: Building on Data Tables developed in Work Pack A2(b), assess the market for rail transport of forest products from eastern Alaska, Yukon and northern B.C. Develop long range production forecasts and determine rail rate levels required for competitive cost positioning relative to existing transportation capability. Confirm results with forestry industry interviews. Estimate rail traffic flows and revenue streams.
Deliverables: Data tables with forestry production, rail traffic and revenue forecasts.
Prerequisite: Completion of Work Pack A2(b)
Object: Traffic Data Evaluation For Farm/Fishery Resources
Statement of Work: Working from Data Tables developed in Work Pack A2(c), assess the market for rail transport to contiguous lower 48 United States, southern Canada or Alaska/BC Ports for farm and fishery products. Develop long rang harvest forecasts and determine rail rate levels required for competitive cost positioning relative to existing transportation capability. Confirm results with farming and fishery industry interviews. Estimate rail traffic flows and revenue streams.
Deliverables: Data tables with long term harvest, rail traffic and revenue forecasts
Prerequisite: Completion of Work Pack A2(c)
MARKET ANALYSIS>Outbound/Export Traffic Analysis>Traffic/Revenue Targets ID
Object: Traffic/Revenue Targets Identification For Outbound/Export Market
Statement of Work: Integrate results for all Outbound/Export Market Analysis Work Packages. Set realistic outbound traffic and revenue targets for rail access to Mineral, Forestry and Farm/Fishery Resources. Identify potentially significant data voids/risk areas for special analysis.
Deliverables: Total rail traffic/revenue forecasts and significant risk analysis areas.
Prerequisites: Completion of Work Packs A2(d)(e)(f).
MARKET ANALYSIS>Strategic Opportunity Analysis>Traffic Data Development
Object: Traffic Data Development For International Land Bridge
Statement of Work: Research global demand and North American capacity for international container traffic through west coast ports. Analyze long term service adjustments to accommodate shifting port/rail dynamics and determine the potential for shortfalls along traditional trans-pacific trade routes. This will require a working knowledge of current and planned liner capabilities, port capacities and inland rail connections.
Deliverables: Data tables showing container ports, inland rail routes, current container traffic and future potential shortfalls
Object: Traffic Data Development For Intermediate Processing/Distribution
Statement of Work: Research locational requirements for value added processing of northern resources. This will include but not be limited to intermediate petrochemical processing, extraction of natural gas liquids; and value added processing of forest products. Also determine criteria for multi-national manufacturing and/or distribution within a global supply chain.
Deliverables: Tabulated criteria for intermediate processing and/or distribution.
Object: Traffic Data Development For Tourism/Passenger Travel
Statement of Work: Research tourism travel statistics and trends in Alaska and Yukon. This will require knowledge of and contact with tour operators, cruise ship companies, tourist train and bus companies as well as private and public sector tourism promotional agencies.Tourism travel includes air, cruise ship, rail tour, tour bus and camper travel.
Deliverables: Data tables with passenger volumes, routes and revenues for tourism travel.
MARKET ANALYSIS>Strategic Opportunity>Traffic Data Evaluation Work Packages
Object: Traffic Data Evaluation For International Land Bridge
Statement of Work: Building on Data Tables developed in Work Pack A3(a), assess the potential for container shipments via extension of existing rail connections to Alaska ports at Skagway, Anchorage, Whittier and Seward. Compare current marine/rail container routes, rates, service levels and capacity to determine extent of traffic susceptible to a new international land bridge trade route linking Pacific, Atlantic and inland container ports. Estimate the long range market potential for rail container traffic and revenue streams. Validate results with marine container industry interviews.
Deliverables: Long range rail container traffic and revenue forecasts for an International Land Bridge
Prerequisite: Completion of Work Pack A3(a)
Object: Traffic Data Evaluation For Intermediate Processing/Distribution
Statement of Work: Building on Data Tables developed in Work Pack A3(b), determine extent of comparative locational advantage for intermediate processing or distribution in Alaska or Yukon. Assess potential fit for multi-national manufacturing within global supply chain criteria. Estimate associated rail traffic flows and revenue streams.
Deliverables: Long range rail traffic and revenue forecasts for Intermediate Processing/Distribution
Prerequisite: Completion of Work Pack A3(b)
Object: Traffic Data Evaluation For Tourism/Passenger Travel
Statement of Work: Building on preliminary research developed in Work Pack A3(c) and in ongoing contact with private and public sector tourism stakeholders, assess the market for passenger service between northern communities and for tourism between various worldwide origins and tourist destinations in Alaska and Yukon. Consider extended tour train travel integrated with existing package and individual tour travel options. Estimate rail passenger traffic flows and revenue streams, and the extent to which they can be expected to exceed above rail operating costs.
Deliverables: Long range rail passenger traffic and net revenue forecasts for Tourism/Passenger Travel
Prerequisite: Completion of Work Pack A3(c)
MARKET ANALYSIS>Strategic Opportunity Analysis>Traffic/Revenue Targets Identification
Object: Traffic/Revenue Targets Identification For Strategic Opportunities
Statement of Work: Integrate results of all Long Range Opportunity Traffic Analysis Work Packages. For the most part this is traffic that neither originates nor terminates in Alaska or Yukon. This is "bonus" traffic dependent on global rather than regional demand, that if attracted offers the prospect of building critical rail economies of traffic density that may not otherwise be achievable. Considering long range trends in global trade (and warming), scope economic opportunities to attract world commerce along a new northern sea/rail route. Analyze existing and emerging comparative locational advantage for international container transportation, intermediate resource processing, and multi-national manufacturing. Assess the future market for international rail passenger and tourism access to Yukon and Alaska. Set realistic targets for long range rail traffic/revenue mutually dependent with economic diversification opportunities driven by access to world markets. Review market information for significant data voids/alternate opportunity areas for special analysis.
Deliverables: Forecast of long range, global market opportunities for rail traffic and revenue; Identification of additional opportunity analysis areas..
Prerequisite: Completion of Work Packs A3(d)(e)(f).